Chief Executive Donald Tsang's
first Policy Address had three main themes:
strengthening public governance, boosting economic
development, and building a more harmonious society.
Tsang did not go into much detail on the
implementation of these themes because they should
be left to the respective ministers. But then
implementation is the main concern of the people of
Hong Kong.
For Hong Kong's future
economic development, Tsang mentioned three main
areas: regional economic cooperation, expanding the
renminbi (RMB) business, and furthering the Closer
Economic Partnership Arrangement (CEPA).
Regional economic cooperation
Indisputably Hong Kong is one
of the most important drivers of economic
development in the pan-Pearl River Delta (PRD)
region. The process of integration began in the late
Eighties when Hong Kong factories were relocated in
the PRD to take advantage of cheaper land and lower
labour costs. This cooperation has since then
further extended to the neighbouring province of
Guangdong.
The region is spread over an
area of 2 million square kilometres and has a
population of 450 million. This region will
undoubtedly continue to be an important growth
engine in the whole of China. I can see many
complementary relationships between Hong Kong and
other parts of the region. Hong Kong has a good
international network, legal system and service
industries that can contribute significantly to the
region's growth. For example, Hong Kong has always
been an important capital-financing centre for
enterprises of the country.
At present, 30 per cent of the
companies listed in Hong Kong are mainland-related
enterprises. Almost all major initial public
offerings (IPOs) conducted in Hong Kong during the
past two years have been mainland-related companies.
These are not exclusively State-owned enterprises
(SOEs) because Hong Kong is also very active in
raising capital for private mainland enterprises. In
short, Hong Kong has been successful in attracting
funds from the international community for mainland
enterprises.
And Hong Kong shall continue
to act as a platform for the mainland-related
enterprises wishing to expand their overseas
business and those eager to engage in cross-border
mergers and acquisitions to become multi-national
companies. This is particularly important for the
country's future economic growth.
Expanding RMB business
Hong Kong is the region's
international financial centre. But it's not yet a
financial centre of the country because mainland
enterprises will not come to Hong Kong to raise RMB
funding. Banks in Hong Kong have begun to
participate in some RMB businesses, offering more
choices to depositors because the SAR people can
operate saving deposits in RMB.
If Hong Kong can participate
more fully in RMB-related business, it would
definitely be beneficial to the RMB exchange rate
system's reform programme.
As a financial centre, Hong
Kong is ready and equipped to assist enterprises
related to the Chinese mainland to raise funds by
issuing bonds dominated in RMB. This will enhance
Hong Kong's status as a major fund raising centre
through its position as a first choice to arrange
equity and debt financing for enterprises from the
Chinese mainland.
At the same time, it could
offer more choices to companies and investors.
Eventually, the market will need RMB derivative
instruments for hedging when the exchange rate
system moves into the next stage of reform. Hong
Kong is definitely the ideal place to test the water
because of the city's experience in the
international derivatives market.
Furthering CEPA
CEPA I and II involve
tariff-free access to the mainland for many Hong
Kong-manufactured products and trade liberalization
in 26 service sectors. The agreements have brought
mutual benefits both to Hong Kong and the mainland.
According to a government survey, jobs are being
created on both sides and the people of Hong Kong
are optimistic about their economic prospects. One
may get the impression that CEPA is more beneficial
to Hong Kong than to the mainland. But in the long
run, the mainland economy will also benefit from the
experience of Hong Kong's service sector.
The government has just
announced CEPA III that allows further integration
in trade and investment. In sum, the CEPA agreements
have played an important role in reviving Hong
Kong's economy after the 2003 SARS epidemic.
Tsang also announced the
possibility of letting highly educated talent to
come to Hong Kong to look for jobs. Such people
(from mainland) cannot come to Hong Kong now without
a job offer. But the new policy would allow them to
visit Hong Kong to look for a job. This is a further
step in attracting overseas talent to Hong Kong and
will have a significant impact on Hong Kong's
long-term economic development.
Most of the economic policies
are concerned with further integration between Hong
Kong's and the mainland's economies. In terms of
economic integration, further cooperation with the
pan-PRD should benefit the entire region, including
Hong Kong. There is certainly more room for
cooperation than competition.
Some critics feel that Hong
Kong is going to be absorbed or swallowed by the
mainland. The fact is that Hong Kong is part of
China. There is a need for closer relationship
between Hong Kong and the mainland. And that implies
cooperation not only in economic development, but
also on the issues of security, information sharing,
environmental protection, and fighting diseases
(such as SARS). More importantly, it is essential
for the chief executive to enhance the mutual
understanding between the two communities - Hong
Kong and the mainland.
I see Hong Kong standing out
now as an extraordinary city of China. The question
we need to address is whether Hong Kong will, in the
future, continue to be the extraordinary city of the
country or will it become simply one of many Chinese
cities. The question that follows is: what do we
need to do in order to maintain Hong Kong's position
as an extraordinary city of China? How can we
enhance Hong Kong's status as the region's main
international financial centre and simultaneously
contribute to the fast-growing Chinese economy? |